Sunday, September 28, 2008

MORE GOVERNMENT RED TAPE

Opinion: The government is creating more hoops for food service operators to jump through. It should be acceptable that calorie and nutrition information be available on a standard sheet of paper or in a digital kiosk. Some supermarkets and fuel centers have computer kiosks for placing orders. Have seen these at Wawa fuel stations and at Ukrop's supermarkets in Virginia. The nutrition information could be part of this system. Might cost big money to have the system upgraded. Just another additional cost of doing business thrust upon the business enterprise.

Washington News


U.S. Sens. Tom Carper (D-DE) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) introduced the Labeling Education and Nutrition Act, which would require restaurants and grocery stores that serve prepared foods and have 20 or more locations to disclose calories for each menu item. Under the bill, calories will be posted directly on the menu, menu board or in one of the approved alternative ways, such as a menu insert or a sign directly next to the menu board. Full Story

Saturday, September 13, 2008

WSJ: "WALGREEN TOPS CVS OFFER FOR LONGS"

DRUG RETAIL WARS

The Wall Street Journal has an article about Walgreen made an offer for Longs Drug Stores. CVS has previously made an offer to buy the Longs Drug Store chain. This offer was accepted and the deal was nearly completed.

NEW YORK -- Walgreen Co. made an offer late Friday to buy Longs Drug Stores Corp. for $2.8 billion, hoping to unseat a rival offer from CVS Caremark Corp. that Longs had already accepted.

Walgreens said it would pay $75 a share in cash to buy the California-based Longs, besting CVS's price of $71.50 per share, ...


Takeaway
Walgreen made this offer to force CVS to pay a higher price. This may or may not happen. The cost of this move is limited for Walgreeen. The more money CVS pays the less they have for remodeling and competing.

CVS may have to match the $75 a share offer. There is little possibility that Walgreen actually thought their offer could, would or will go through.

This move is intended to slow their fiercest direct competitor
. Both Walgreen and CVS are in a battle against Walmart, Target, COSTCO, Kroger etc.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

CREDIT CRUNCH: BIG 3 DEALER CONSOLIDATION

The Wall Street Journal has an interesting story on how the Credit Crunch is squeezing car dealerships.

Tight Credit Puts Squeeze
On Big Three Auto Dealers
By JOHN D. STOLL
August 28, 2008

The credit crunch squeezing Detroit's Big Three auto makers is now spreading to some of their dealers, adding financial pressure to a group already strained by this year's big drop in auto sales.

Takeaway:

  • The Big 3 are seeking to consolidate their dealer networks
  • It will be costly to buy dealerships out
  • The credit crunch will squeeze and consolidate car dealers
  • Strategy and tactics are critical dealer survival
  • No longer is size and scale a winning combination
This is a story to track closely for the next 6 months and out to 5 years from now. There will be tremendous change.

What are your thoughts?

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

CAREER OPPORTUNITY IN SKILLED TRADES

Interesting article in the Wall Street Journal this morning. There are some smart alternatives to college. Read the article and evaluate your situation. If you know someone who might benefit from reading it, pass it on.

A snippet of the column is below. The full article can be accessed at the link in the post title above or the article title below.

CAREERS

Contractors, Unions
Try Web, Schools;
A 'Dirty Jobs' Role

By ANTON TROIANOVSKI

Even as the economy slumps and unemployment rises, strong demand for power plants, oil refineries and export goods has many manufacturers and construction contractors scrambling to find enough skilled workers to plug current and future holes.

With the shortage of welders, pipe fitters and other high-demand workers likely to get worse as more of them reach retirement age, unions, construction contractors and other businesses are trying to figure out how to attract more young people to those fields.

Their challenge: overcoming the perception that blue-collar trades offer less status, money and chance for advancement than white-collar jobs, and that college is the best investment for everyone.


Takeaway:
  • Choosing a path [Goal] and perusing it is important
  • Being a price maker [skilled / talented] is better than being a price taker [unskilled / commodity]
  • Aging of the work force is happening in most areas of the employment. Maybe even more so for skilled trades as there is probably a limit to how many people will work past 60, 62, 65 in blue collar career. Knowledge workers do not face the physical toll 40+ years of labor places on the body. They will work past retirement in some capacity. [consulting, part time, special projects etc]
  • Skilled trades are valuable. There is a strong financial reward for people with the right skills / talent.
  • College and university are not the only path to prosperity.
  • The trade associations need to do a much better job communicating that their career opportunities are competitive with those being pushed by "Big Education."
  • Dusty Henry has the right attitude and he will be successful [Step #1 Find a goal Step #2 pursue goal]
What are your thoughts?

Thursday, August 14, 2008

THE US$

Interesting article on the US Dollar in the LA Times.
Resurgent dollar slams Americans' foreign stock holdings
The once-struggling U.S. dollar suddenly is the strongman of the world’s major currencies. That’s great for Americans’ purchasing power -- but if you’ve noticed, it’s a heavy blow to the foreign stock holdings in your portfolio.
Takeaway:
As the Dollar strengthens foreign holdings are reduced in value upon currency conversion. People/investors appear to be buying US Dollars to invest in safer US based investments.

As the Dollar becomes more in demand its value increases and commodities priced in Dollars become cheaper for people using the US$. This may be part of the reason oil has been dropping. The current price of NYMEX oil can be found on Bloomberg

Hostilities between Russia and the Republic of Georgia may halt or reverse the recent price drops if tensions further increase. Keep a close eye on the situation for signs of further escalation.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

CVS TO ACQUIRE LONGS DRUG

CVS Caremark to Purchase Longs Drug for $2.7 Billion (Update3)

By Lauren Coleman-Lochner

Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) -- CVS Caremark Corp., the second- biggest U.S. drugstore chain, said it would buy Longs Drug Stores Corp. for $2.7 billion to expand its reach in the western U.S., closing the gap with larger Walgreen Co.

Longs Drug has 521 locations in California, Hawaii, Nevada and Arizona, giving CVS about 6,800 stores, in line with Walgreen, the Deerfield, Illinois-based chain with 6,849.


TAKEAWAY:
  • CVS has been on a acquisition tear for quite a few years
  • Walgreen's and CVS will have essentially equal number of locations if this dal happens.
  • They seek to grow their store count
  • This will allow for more efficient use of existing assets. Trucks, warehouses, distribution centers etc.
It will be interesting to see if there is antitrust scrutiny on this deal. CVS could make a strong case that all the supermarkets [most of which have in store pharmacies] that there will still be strong competitors after the deal.

What are your thoughts?

Sunday, August 10, 2008

RUSSIA VS GEORGIA

There are currently military hostilities between Russia and the Republic of Georgia.

Why is this important?

There is a major oil pipeline in Georgia that transports "1.2 million barrels a day." There are reports that Russia has attacked the pipeline.

"
Azerbaijan, which borders Georgia, announced Saturday it had halted oil exports via the Georgian ports of Batumi and Kulevi due to the fighting between Georgia and Russia."

Bloomberg has the Nymex Crude Future at $116.40 [retrieved Sunday 8/10/08]

If the hostilities reduce the world oil supply the price of oil, which has been steadily falling, may begin to climb upwards as a result of new tensions, hostilities and uncertainties.

Where do you think oil prices will be in a week, month, and 60 days?